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  HomeContents of Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering (English Edition),2003 No.3PRODUCT DATA PREDICTION WITH UNCERTAINTY IN PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE DESIGN

Yu Suiran 

 

Wang Chengtao

School of Mechanical Engineering, Shanghai Jiaotong University,

Shanghai 200030, China

 

Kimura Fumihiko

Department of Precision Machinery Eng.,
University of Tokyo,
Tokyo 113-8656, Japan

 

 

PRODUCT DATA PREDICTION WITH UNCERTAINTY IN PRODUCT LIFE
CYCLE DESIGN*


Abstract: Various kinds of data are used in new product design and more accurate data make the design results more reliable. Even though part of product data can be available directly from the existing similar products, there still leaves a great deal of data unavailable. This makes data prediction a valuable work. A method that can predict data of product under development based on the existing similar products is proposed. Fuzzy theory is used to deal with the uncertainties in data prediction process. The proposed method can be used in life cycle design, life cycle assessment (LCA) etc. Case study on current refrigerator is used as a demonstration example.

Key words: Data prediction Uncertainty  Life cycle design

 


* This project is supported by Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MONBUSHO), Japan. Received August 14, 2002; received in revised form December 29, 2002; accepted March 9, 2003

 

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